Mike Shedlock posted a useful chart showing market returns in different inflation environments (via JP Morgan). Shedlock is quick to note some flaws in the chart (primarily valuation), however, I think the chart offers a useful framework for various inflation environments regardless of its flaws (no indicator is perfect). Given the current inflation rate of 2.7% (and rising) we can conclude that the lower left hand quadrant is the current market environment. No wonder commodities and equities continue to outperform….
Source: JP Morgan
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